Assumption-Based Planning

Assumption-Based Planning

A Tool for Reducing Avoidable Surprises
by James A. Dewar
Productivity 20 min read ★★★★½ 4.5 (42)
Read Summary

About This Book

Assumption-Based Planning (2002) offers a different way to think about strategy. Instead of trying to predict what the future holds, it gives you a method for finding the weak points in any plan – the silent beliefs that, if they turn out to be wrong, bring everything down. You'll walk away with practical tools for stress-testing your goals and making them sturdy enough to survive surprise.

Who Should Read This?

  • Project managers who want to catch risks before they become problems
  • Entrepreneurs operating in unpredictable markets
  • Corporate strategists who need plans that can take a hit and keep standing

About the Author

James A. Dewar is the Director of the RAND Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition. He spent years at RAND as a senior mathematician and analyst, where he developed the “Assumption-Based Planning” methodology. The Military Operations Research Society has recognized his work with a prize-winning paper award.